Quick reference

Fatty liver in Saudi Arabia and the Middle East

The numbers behind our mission: how common MASLD is in our region, and the gaps we need to close.

For
Healthcare professionals
Author
Dr. Mahmoud Al-Desoky
Version
1.0, updated 2026-10-03

Key points

  • About 39% of people in the Middle East and North Africa have MASLD, and about 69% of people with type 2 diabetes.
  • In Saudi Arabia, estimated adult prevalence rose from 41% (2012) to 44% (2019).
  • Models predict cirrhosis and liver cancer from MASH in Saudi Arabia will roughly triple from 2018 to 2030.
  • Doctors' knowledge varies, and the region produces only about 3% of world MASLD research.

1How common it is

PopulationEstimateSource
MENA, general population39.4%Meta-analysis, Younossi 2024
MENA, type 2 diabetes68.7%Meta-analysis, Younossi 2024
MENA, trend35.4% (2008–16) → 46.2% (2017–20)Younossi 2024
Saudi Arabia, adults40.6% (2012) → 44.0% (2019)Global Burden of Disease, Alqahtani 2024
Saudi Arabia, all ages28.0% → 33.1% (about 11.8 million people)Alqahtani 2024

Modelled and pooled estimates. Local studies vary with the test used and the group studied.

2Where it is heading

  • A Saudi model (2018–2030) predicts people with F0–F3 fibrosis doubling to 2.5 million, and cirrhosis plus liver cancer cases tripling to about 212,000.
  • The same model estimated NASH-related costs at about 5.8% of national health spending in 2019.
  • In Saudi Arabia, MASLD is rising while hepatitis B is falling and hepatitis C is stable. Fatty liver is becoming the main chronic liver disease.
  • Across the region, high fasting blood glucose is the largest risk factor driving the MASLD burden.

3What patients tell us

In a survey of 804 Saudi patients, 79% called their condition "fatty liver" frequently or always, and only 17% had told family or friends about it. Few reported stigma, but 43% had missed or avoided a primary care visit because of their liver disease.

This is why our patient pages say "fatty liver" (الكبد الدهني) first and explain MASLD second.

4The gaps

  • Knowledge: in a survey of 584 doctors from Saudi Arabia, Egypt and Türkiye, guideline adherence was 81–84% among specialists but 38–51% among non-specialists.
  • Research: from 2014 to 2023, Arab countries produced 844 MASLD papers, about 3.3% of the world total, despite some of the highest prevalence.

Related topics

References

  1. Younossi ZM, et al. Prevalence of MASLD in the Middle East and North Africa. Liver Int 2024;44(4):1061–70. doi:10.1111/liv.15852
  2. Alqahtani SA, et al. The burden of MASLD and viral hepatitis in Saudi Arabia. Saudi J Gastroenterol 2024;30(5):310–8. doi:10.4103/sjg.sjg_62_24
  3. Sanai FM, et al. Clinical and economic burden of NASH in Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates and Kuwait. Hepatol Int 2021;15(4):912–21. doi:10.1007/s12072-021-10182-x
  4. Sarkoohi Z, et al. Epidemiological trends and burden of MASLD in the Middle East and North Africa region: a 32-year analysis. J Health Popul Nutr 2025;44(1):207. doi:10.1186/s41043-025-00973-5
  5. Alqahtani SA, et al. Stigma in steatotic liver disease: a survey of patients from Saudi Arabia. Saudi J Gastroenterol 2024;30(5):335–41. doi:10.4103/sjg.sjg_122_24
  6. Alqahtani SA, et al. Knowledge about MASLD among medical professionals from countries in the MENA region. Ann Hepatol 2025;30(1):101569. doi:10.1016/j.aohep.2024.101569
  7. Alhazzani W, et al. A bibliometric analysis of a decade's research on MASLD in the Arab world. Saudi J Gastroenterol 2025;31(3):157–67. doi:10.4103/sjg.sjg_431_24
  8. Abaalkhail F, et al. MASLD management in Saudi Arabia: a modified Delphi-based adaptation of international standards. Saudi J Gastroenterol 2026;32(2):104–20. doi:10.4103/sjg.sjg_199_25

How to cite this page

Desoky M. Fatty liver in Saudi Arabia and the Middle East. Metabolic Liver Academy quick reference, version 1.0. Updated 2026-10-03. Available from: https://drmahmouddesoky.github.io/metabolic-liver-academy/ref/middle-east.html

A summary of published guidelines for healthcare professionals. It does not replace clinical judgement, the full guidelines or local drug labels. Disclaimer.

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