Key points
- About 39% of people in the Middle East and North Africa have MASLD, and about 69% of people with type 2 diabetes.
- In Saudi Arabia, estimated adult prevalence rose from 41% (2012) to 44% (2019).
- Models predict cirrhosis and liver cancer from MASH in Saudi Arabia will roughly triple from 2018 to 2030.
- Doctors' knowledge varies, and the region produces only about 3% of world MASLD research.
1How common it is
| Population | Estimate | Source |
|---|---|---|
| MENA, general population | 39.4% | Meta-analysis, Younossi 2024 |
| MENA, type 2 diabetes | 68.7% | Meta-analysis, Younossi 2024 |
| MENA, trend | 35.4% (2008–16) → 46.2% (2017–20) | Younossi 2024 |
| Saudi Arabia, adults | 40.6% (2012) → 44.0% (2019) | Global Burden of Disease, Alqahtani 2024 |
| Saudi Arabia, all ages | 28.0% → 33.1% (about 11.8 million people) | Alqahtani 2024 |
Modelled and pooled estimates. Local studies vary with the test used and the group studied.
2Where it is heading
- A Saudi model (2018–2030) predicts people with F0–F3 fibrosis doubling to 2.5 million, and cirrhosis plus liver cancer cases tripling to about 212,000.
- The same model estimated NASH-related costs at about 5.8% of national health spending in 2019.
- In Saudi Arabia, MASLD is rising while hepatitis B is falling and hepatitis C is stable. Fatty liver is becoming the main chronic liver disease.
- Across the region, high fasting blood glucose is the largest risk factor driving the MASLD burden.
3What patients tell us
In a survey of 804 Saudi patients, 79% called their condition "fatty liver" frequently or always, and only 17% had told family or friends about it. Few reported stigma, but 43% had missed or avoided a primary care visit because of their liver disease.
This is why our patient pages say "fatty liver" (الكبد الدهني) first and explain MASLD second.
4The gaps
- Knowledge: in a survey of 584 doctors from Saudi Arabia, Egypt and Türkiye, guideline adherence was 81–84% among specialists but 38–51% among non-specialists.
- Research: from 2014 to 2023, Arab countries produced 844 MASLD papers, about 3.3% of the world total, despite some of the highest prevalence.
Related topics
References
- Younossi ZM, et al. Prevalence of MASLD in the Middle East and North Africa. Liver Int 2024;44(4):1061–70. doi:10.1111/liv.15852
- Alqahtani SA, et al. The burden of MASLD and viral hepatitis in Saudi Arabia. Saudi J Gastroenterol 2024;30(5):310–8. doi:10.4103/sjg.sjg_62_24
- Sanai FM, et al. Clinical and economic burden of NASH in Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates and Kuwait. Hepatol Int 2021;15(4):912–21. doi:10.1007/s12072-021-10182-x
- Sarkoohi Z, et al. Epidemiological trends and burden of MASLD in the Middle East and North Africa region: a 32-year analysis. J Health Popul Nutr 2025;44(1):207. doi:10.1186/s41043-025-00973-5
- Alqahtani SA, et al. Stigma in steatotic liver disease: a survey of patients from Saudi Arabia. Saudi J Gastroenterol 2024;30(5):335–41. doi:10.4103/sjg.sjg_122_24
- Alqahtani SA, et al. Knowledge about MASLD among medical professionals from countries in the MENA region. Ann Hepatol 2025;30(1):101569. doi:10.1016/j.aohep.2024.101569
- Alhazzani W, et al. A bibliometric analysis of a decade's research on MASLD in the Arab world. Saudi J Gastroenterol 2025;31(3):157–67. doi:10.4103/sjg.sjg_431_24
- Abaalkhail F, et al. MASLD management in Saudi Arabia: a modified Delphi-based adaptation of international standards. Saudi J Gastroenterol 2026;32(2):104–20. doi:10.4103/sjg.sjg_199_25
How to cite this page
Desoky M. Fatty liver in Saudi Arabia and the Middle East. Metabolic Liver Academy quick reference, version 1.0. Updated 2026-10-03. Available from: https://drmahmouddesoky.github.io/metabolic-liver-academy/ref/middle-east.html
A summary of published guidelines for healthcare professionals. It does not replace clinical judgement, the full guidelines or local drug labels. Disclaimer.